This is the booklet that accompanies bps energy outlook 2030. The outlook for global energy is not just a matter for energy companies. Jan 15, 2014 the bp energy outlook 2035 is our 2014 projection for the worlds energy future. According to bp 2012 report, the growth of global energy consumption is increasingly being met by nonfossil fuels. This is the second year in which bp has made our outlook for global energy available to the public. The csis energy and national security program hosted mark finley, general manager of global energy markets and u. A read is counted each time someone views a publication summary such as the title, abstract, and list of authors, clicks on a figure, or views or downloads the fulltext. Pdf on jan 1, 2012, christof ruhl and others published bp energy outlook 2030 find, read and cite all the research you need on. All new vehicles sold must be electric by 2030 but can your nation.
Welcome to the 20 edition of bps energy outlook 2030. Bps annual energy outlook contains our projections of future energy trends and factors that could affect them, based on our views of likely economic and population growth and developments in policy and technology. Around the world, there is a lively and important conversation taking place on the choices that face us all. The energy outlook explores the forces shaping the global energy transition out to 2040 and the key uncertainties surrounding that transition.
By 2030, the world economy will nearly double, but can this growth be sustained. Bob dudley group chief executive 5 2016 energy outlook. Renewables, nuclear and hydro together account for 34% of the growth. For many years the outlook for energy has helped inform exxonmobil s longterm business strategies, investment plans, and research programs. This years outlook reveals that global energy demand continues to grow but that growth is slowing and will mainly. Substitute forecasts for the word statistics, and youll have a good understanding of the public reaction to the recently released bp energy outl. We hope that this edition of the bp energy outlook can make a useful contribution to informing discussions about future energy needs and trends. Hazardex third bp energy outlook forecast sees worldwide. Sponsored article bp energy outlook 2030 says shale gas will have limited impact in uk and europe. It is a major component of the nonopec organization of petroleum exporting countries growth over the 20 years from. Bp, the oil and gas major, has significantly increased its global outlook for wind and solar energy the main scenario in the companys latest annual energy outlook, released yesterday, shows renewables rising fourfold to 2,000 million tonnes of oil equivalent mtoe by 2035. Bp predicts natural gas will be the fastest growing fossil fuel by 2030, growing 2. Bps new energy outlook predicts evergrowing demand for oil and gas, and.
Bp 2014 on the question of security, our outlook offers a mixed, though broadly positive, view. Global liquids demand oil, biofuels exc growth owing nonoecd economies. Is the transition to a lower carbon energy system happening fast enough. Welcome to the 2012 edition of bps energy outlook 2030. Jan 22, 20 welcome to the 20 edition of bps energy outlook 2030.
Bp energy outlook 2030 20 center for strategic and. Bp energy outlook 2030 energy information administration. In the european union, renewables account for 80% of new capacity and wind power becomes the leading source of electricity soon after 2030, due to strong. It shows how rising prosperity drives an increase in global energy demand and how that demand will be met over the coming decades through a diverse range of supplies including oil, gas, coal and renewables. This years edition updates the outlooks for all fuels, technologies and regions, based on the latest market. David pumphrey, codirector and senior fellow in the csis energy and national security program, moderated. Bp chief economist christof ruhl, quoted in the oil majors energy outlook 2030 forecast, said the group foresaw extremely limited growth in shale gas in europe. Disclaimerthis presentation contains forwardlooking statements, particularly those regarding globaleconomic growth, population growth, energy consumption, policy support for renewableenergies and sources of energy su. An exercise in wish fulfillment like dreams, statistics are a form of wish fulfillment, french philosopher jean baudrillard once said. Natural gas use in transport is confined to 2% of global gas demand in 2030, despite growing four times from todays level. It is not a statement about the way the world is so much as about the way bp wishes it to be over the next 20 years. As it turns out, the bp energy outlook 2030 is not a statistical or scientific document, but rather a political one.
Maybe this is more wishful thinking as renewable energies. The bp energy outlook 2035 is our 2014 projection for the worlds energy future. In short, the bp energy outlook is an exercise in wish fulfillment. This is bp energy outlook 2030 the worlds energy future 20 report by kathy oneill on vimeo, the home for high quality videos and the people. The bp energy outlook 2030 highlights the growing role of developing economies in global. If you want to download or read this book, copy link or url below in the new. It has trimmed 239 million tonnes of oil equivalent mtoe, or 6%, from its 2035 outlook for coal, which it now expects to be below demand in 2030. Bp s annual energy outlook contains our projections of future energy trends and factors that could affect them, based on our views of likely economic and population growth and developments in policy and technology.
Analysis by carbon brief shows that, for the first time, the bp energy outlook is forecasting a peak in global coal demand. Bp 2012 south african demand and imports dependency. By 2030, non fossil fuels, such as nuclear, hydro and renewables are. The bp energy outlook 2030 is not a statistical or scientific document, cobb writes, but rather a political one. Welcome to the 20 edition of bp s energy outlook 2030. The company and many who read its forecast think that if we dress up our wishes in the form of color graphs and charts, those wishes will come trueor possibly they have already come true because bp conveniently tells us so in advance. Eia, annual energy outlook 2016 6 29% 9% 16 36% 8%. Outlook for energy the outlook for energy is exxonmobil s latest view of energy demand and supply through 2040. Naturally, that includes bp continuing as one of the worlds largest and most influential corporations. And while coal remains the principal fuel in power generation, it is gradually being replaced first by natural gas, and now by renewables. Jan 23, 20 the bp energy outlook 2030 shares our 20 projections for the worlds energy future. Mar 14, 20 third bp energy outlook forecast sees worldwide energy demand up 36% by 2030.
The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energy related emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. Hazardex bp energy outlook 2030 says shale gas will have. Stronger policy action on climate change co 2emissions from energy use sources of carbon abatement versus base case, 2030 iraq 20 25 30 35 40 2000 2010 2020 2030 base case policy case iea 450 scenario billion tonnes co 2 a backcast which illustrates what is required to stabilise. Bp energy outlook 2030, the third annual energy forecast by the ukbased major, expects growth in global energy demand to be 36% higher in 2030 than 2011, with almost all the growth coming from emerging economies. Around the world, there is a lively and important conversation taking place on the choices that face us all as consumers, producers, investors and policymakers.
I am glad to see this decision w as endorsed by the response we received to last years edition, which was downloaded over 36,000 times from bps website. Economics at bp, to present and discuss key issues from the bp energy outlook 2030. Petroleum, diesel and kerosene energy outlook 2030 18 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 sa share of 2010 2012 2014. It is not a statement about the way the world is so much as about the way bp wishes. Among todays energy importers, the united states is on a path to. Bp 2012 energy outlook 2030 10 unconventional gas will play a growing role 0 20 40 60 80 100 1990 2010 2030 net pipeline imports net lng imports syngas from.
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